MPs and pundits have been quick to point out that Yellowhammer only sets out the “worst-case scenario”, missing the fundamental point that the bad stuff will still be harmful if it happens, however unlikely that may be.
Leading risk analyst, George Fishlove, explained the situation: “The textbook model we risk analysts like to use is called the Sleeping Lion Paradox.
“If you see a sleeping lion you have two options, one walk away from it and hope it doesn’t wake up, or two, creep up to it and give it a good hard kick in the nuts.
“Now there are, of course, several outcomes to either course of action but I think we can agree that the absolute worst-case scenario is that the lion wakes up and eats you.
“However, we conclude that while not kicking the lion in the ball bag reduces the probability of the worst-case scenario occurring, it does not make the scenario where you are eaten by a lion with sore bollocks any more appealing.”
In response to this article, a government spokesman confirmed that the public would not be at an increased risk of being eaten by lions if the UK leaves the EU without a deal on October 31st.